For those of you new here, Week 1 will give you a full breakdown of what we’re doing. Current bracketology HERE. Most recent Bubble Watch HERE.

Below we have a slide show with every graph going back to before Christmas on Dec 19th. It is a great view to see where we have come from, with teams rising and falling, as well as finding a more consistent identity. Florida stands out as a massive riser, with teams like BYU and Gonzaga being the biggest movers in the opposite direction. Illinois and Arkansas made major moves north as their offenses have clicked more and more as the season has gone on. Conversely, Nebraska has gotten better and better on the other end, rising all the way to the 5th best defense in the country after starting in the middle.

It is also important to point out how the juggernaut watch has evolved, with my pointing out midway through the season that Michigan was tracking for an all-time season. That was point of adding the line, as only 5 teams since 2002 have entered the tourney above it, and all 5 made the Final 4, with 3 getting to the title game. Since then, we’ve seen Arizona flirt with that line and now Duke has surged into Michigan territory, legitimizing any opinions that it’s a 2 horse race. Arizona is still right there though so I wouldn’t completely agree with that theory. My final thought on where we are right now is that the best 3 defensive teams in the country are 1-2-3 right now. In a landscape where offensive efficiency has exploded, being able to get consistent stops has become the key standout ability these days.